我做一个2023预测

 我做一个2023预测：

1。放开，不会带来经济增速回升，2023年继续认为增速下降，甚至负增长。

2。地产不会回暖，吹牛逼的中介不能相信。很多人会断杠杆。债务违约一大片。

3。股票只有结构性的机会，没有整体向上行情。

4。经济不是面临洗牌，而是经济正在进行洗牌，很多被证伪的概念，将会死亡。

5。社会，经济，向质量发展加深。未来要有产品质量，服务质量才能满足消费者的需求。

欢迎大家补充…

我对未来经济的预测

从2023年开始。

1、未来经济增长，要靠质量增长，不再靠数量堆砌。

2、慢慢进入知识经济社会，没有专业知识，很难谋得一个职位，没有专业的管理人才，企业走不远。这些被淘汰的人，就是开抖音直播也没有人观看。

3、新型工业化已经开始，原来落后的地区，布局新型工业化，可以迎头赶上。创新才能实现增长。

4、原来工业经济先进的地区，如果转型不成功，就很快会落后。转型包袱重。

5、珠三角和非珠三角（环珠三角贫困带）将会逐渐模糊 ，差距将会缩小。珠三角内有穷人，环珠三角贫困带也有很富的人。不再以地域区分贫富差距。

我为什么说中国要进入知识经济社会。我不是瞎说 的。我是有依据的。

我为什么说中国要进入知识经济社会。我不是瞎说 的。我是有依据的。

50-80年代，拿铁楸锤子，凭力气，

90年代，要拿电动工具，挂个包跑市场。凭眼光，凭胆量。

00年代，要懂电脑。凭知识，凭胆量。

2020年代，进入新知识经济社会，要懂协作，懂专业知识，用专业软件。凭专业知识。讲版权，讲知识产权。做个游戏赚十几个亿。

从这个趋势，我断定，要进入知识经济社会。

有些不能进入知识经济社会的人，不能适应知识经济社会的人。将会被淘汰。

90年代，我看TVB，我就在广告第一次接触“知识经济社会”这个名词。

这个名词不是我原创。但我永远记得这个词语。

当时TVB的广告告诉市民，

香港正在进入知识经济社会，作为劳动者也要多充实自己，欢迎有就业困难的人，年轻人，参加劳工处的创业培训，参加高等学院再教育计划………………

广告我已经记不清了。但是主题就是要参加再教育，要适应知识经济社会。

[Investment Promotion Column] Guangdong (Zhaoqing) Large Industrial Cluster: Fully promote high-quality investment promotion!

 [Investment Promotion Column] Guangdong (Zhaoqing) Large Industrial Cluster: Fully promote high-quality investment promotion!

Invested in Zhaoqing 2022-11-10, published in Guangdong at 20:46

As approved by the whole province

One of the seven large industrial clusters,

Guangdong Province (Zhaoqing) Large Industrial Cluster

Since the construction started in June this year,

Has been committed to improving the project implementation mechanism

Optimize the project selection process

Broaden project information channels,

Close to the industrial chain for precise investment promotion,

Initial achievements have been made in the implementation of industrial investment promotion.

In June 2022, the centralized commencement ceremony of the first batch of infrastructure projects in Guangdong (Zhaoqing) large-scale industrial cluster area and the signing ceremony of financial institution cooperation agreement were held in Zhaoqing New Area. △ Photographed by Liao Wenyi

01

Improve the investment promotion mechanism

Pay close attention to the implementation of projects

In order to ensure the quick signing and implementation of the project under discussion, under the correct leadership of the municipal party committee, the municipal government and the planning and construction headquarters of Guangdong (Zhaoqing) large-scale industrial cluster area, the industrial promotion group led by the municipal investment promotion bureau and the business backbone of Dinghu District and Sihui City has formulated "one industry plan", established "one project database", prepared "one investment guide", and produced "one propaganda film" We have planned "a set of project selection methods", created "a backbone team", connected a number of industrial projects, took the "1+1+2" industrial planning of the cluster area as the "blueprint", guided the work with scientific planning, and effectively achieved "casting an eagle at a rabbit's eye"; At the same time, we have formed a good communication mechanism with Dinghu District, Zhaoqing New Area and Sihui City on project selection and implementation services, invited the Municipal Development and Reform Bureau, the Bureau of Industry and Information Technology, the Bureau of Natural Resources, the Bureau of Ecological Environment and other relevant functional departments to intervene in advance, well conducted project analysis, research and judgment, formed a sound working mechanism with the industrial promotion group to organize papers, submit for approval, and cooperate with the local authorities in the implementation, so as to achieve city county linkage and horizontal coordination, To form a "chess game" pattern of attracting investment in the city.

△ Layout of Guangdong (Zhaoqing) Large Industrial Cluster

02

Optimize project selection management

Consciously control project access

Increase investment attraction and capital selection

In order to consciously control the project access and prevent the occurrence of "bleeding investment", the headquarters in the cluster area strengthened the depth and breadth of scientific research and judgment, and combined with the actual situation, carried out an all-round research and judgment on the proposed project from the aspects of investment subject, project land, construction and production content, input and output, energy consumption, environmental protection, etc; At the same time, in order to standardize the project selection, the Administrative Measures for the Selection of Manufacturing Investment Projects in Guangdong (Zhaoqing) Large Industrial Agglomeration Zone was issued, specifying that the headquarters, local governments and investors should sign investment contracts, and give guidance to the relevant aspects of project selection, which will be printed and implemented after modification and improvement.

03

Take multiple measures to deliver power accurately

Guarantee the effectiveness of investment promotion

Targeting the industry chain for precise investment promotion

The headquarters of the gathering area closely surrounds

Ningde Times, Xiaopeng Automobile, Fenghua High Tech, etc

Leading enterprises and chain owners,

Strive to supplement chains, build platforms and gather groups,

Carry out industrial chain investment attraction,

Accurately connect a number of high-quality projects,

Ensure adequate quantity and quality of projects.

△ Xiaopeng Automobile Production Workshop. Photographed by Wang Zhenyu

Build a full coverage investment attraction network

Cluster Area Headquarters

Taking the Guangdong Hong Kong Macao Greater Bay Area as the starting point,

It is not limited to "Guangzhou, Foshan and Dongguan",

He has visited Baoding, Hebei, Suzhou, Jiangsu

Xuzhou, Changzhou and other places carried out investment promotion activities,

At the same time, Shandong, Hubei,Chongqing, Sichuan and other important industries

Target enterprises in node cities have established contacts,

It is planned to carry out visit docking in November.

Multi form investment promotion

The investment promotion shall be carried out in a combination of "cloud investment promotion", "business attraction", "collaborative investment promotion", "township investment promotion", "entrusted investment promotion" and other ways. The headquarters of the cluster area has successively introduced its investment environment to Great Wall Motors, Kelu Electronics and other enterprises through online promotion, video conference and other ways; Establish cooperation with international and domestic well-known third-party investment promotion institutions such as PricewaterhouseCoopers, Chengyi Investment and Unnamed Jinshi, and employ Guangzhou Chengyi Investment Consulting Co., Ltd. as the investment promotion consultant of the headquarters.

Zhaoqing investment promotion personnel conducted "cloud talks" with customers through email, WeChat, telephone, video and other ways to promote the project implementation. Photographed by Xu Jin

Build a "united front" for investment attraction

The headquarters of the cluster actively communicated with the provincial department of commerce, provincial investment promotion bureau and other superior departments, took advantage of the high-quality resources of the provincial department of commerce, prepared a special promotion conference in Shanghai with the provincial department of commerce and municipal investment promotion bureau, planned to invite Toyota, Volkswagen, Mitsubishi and other international well-known enterprises to participate, improved the popularity of the cluster, helped the development of the intelligent network connected new energy vehicle industry, and constantly strengthened coordination and linkage with the municipal investment promotion bureau, Jointly carry out in-depth research, focus on investment promotion, promote implementation and other work, and enable the implementation of projects.

04

Establish an international investment vision

Increase investment promotion

Targeting international capital to carry out special investment attraction

The cluster headquarters is committed to

Establish a vision of international investment attraction,

Actively connect with well-known international and domestic brands

Capital management and investment institutions,

In depth and Hillhouse Capital, Yintuo Capital, etc

International capital investment institutions docking,

Actively tap high-end transnational manufacturing project resources.

Increase publicity in multiple dimensions

Passed by the headquarters of the cluster area

Making promotional films and investment guides on investment environment,

Online and offline methods are adopted,

Actively publicize Zhaoqing's industrial support policies

Investment environment in the cluster area.

Industrial agglomeration and vitality

Guangdong (Zhaoqing) large-scale industrial cluster will continue to adhere to the concept of "strong industry, project as the king, park as the parent, and enterprise first", deeply carry out the action of "attracting large and excellent merchants", always adhere to the industrial chain investment thinking, promote the extension of the industrial chain to depth and breadth, take the municipal administration starting area of large-scale industrial cluster as the important carrier of the project, and focus on the listed companies, top 100 enterprises Specializing in "small giant" enterprises and other leading enterprises, chain owners and their upstream and downstream industries to carry out precise investment attraction in the industrial chain, develop and expand the "1+1+2" industrial cluster, and plug the wings of high quality development in Zhaoqing.

Adhere to the principle of strong industry and priority of manufacturing industry, and the proportion of introduced manufacturing projects exceeds 90%! Zhaoqing Investment Attraction Precise Effort!

 Adhere to the principle of strong industry and priority of manufacturing industry, and the proportion of introduced manufacturing projects exceeds 90%! Zhaoqing Investment Attraction Precise Effort!

Invested in Zhaoqing 2022-11-14, published in Guangdong at 20:45

As of the end of October this year,

Zhaoqing has introduced 185 projects worth more than 100 million yuan

The total planned investment exceeds 40 billion yuan,

The proportion of manufacturing projects exceeds 90%,

Moreover, the quality and intensity of the project have been steadily improved.

Zhaoqing has achieved good results in attracting investment,

It can not be separated from the city's merchants

Be energetic and go all out!

Since this year,

Our city continues to increase

Efforts to implement industrial investment promotion.

Plan the city's resource strength and improve the quality and efficiency of investment promotion. At the same time, we should be pragmatic and innovative in investment promotion. When it is not convenient to go out, we should actively carry out "cloud investment promotion" and "cloud docking" with customers; Actively use their own "circle of friends" to expand resources, such as further implementing local investment promotion, targeting the upstream and downstream of the industrial chain owners and suppliers to carry out "point-to-point" investment promotion, while further exploring new investment promotion modes such as fund investment promotion, big data investment promotion, constantly expanding investment channels and improving the investment target.

Zhaoqing New Area. Map source issued by Zhaoqing New Area

Investment promotion is important, and landing is even more important.

In order to ensure the implementation of the project as soon as possible, our city has made a number of reforms this year, such as deeply promoting the simplification of administration and decentralization of power, and improving the autonomous power of county level selection. Strengthen the construction services, optimize the "mother service", set up "chief service officers" in many places, and strive to solve the problems of blocking points, difficulties and pain points in all links of the whole process of the project. We will deepen the activities of "projects are the king, enterprises are the first, and services are deepened to stabilize growth", strengthen the tracking service and coordination of key projects, and promote industrial investment projects to form more physical workload.

For example, Huaiji County changed the focus of work to the implementation of the project, coordinated to solve the problems of "three supplies and one leveling" in the promotion of the project, and made every effort to accelerate the progress of the project. The High tech Zone holds weekly project construction coordination meetings to study and solve the problems in the process of promoting industrial projects in the zone, establish a work task supervision account, timely handle enterprise demands, and coordinate with relevant functional departments to solve them. Since this year, 136 appeals put forward by enterprises have been accepted and coordinated.

Zhaoqing High tech Zone. Photographed by Wang Zhenyu

Guangdong Province (Zhaoqing) Large Industrial Cluster

It is the center of the city's work,

The cluster area is planned and constructed at the same time, and investment attraction is carried out simultaneously.

On the one hand, the investment attraction work in the cluster area has a clear goal, closely focusing on the "1+1+2" industrial planning of the cluster area, and on the other hand, focusing on efficiency. The city level starting areas of the cluster area are concentrated in Dinghu District, Zhaoqing New Area, and Sihui City. The four units form a good communication mechanism for project selection and implementation services, and invite relevant functional departments such as development and reform, industry and information technology, natural resources, and ecological environment to participate in advance, and do a good job in project analysis, research and judgment, By strengthening linkage and collaboration, we will continue to optimize efficiency and promote the rapid implementation of high-quality projects.

The person in charge of the investment promotion of the headquarters said that in order to consciously control the project access and strengthen the project benefits, the cluster area has strengthened the depth and breadth of research and judgment. Combining with the actual situation, the proposed project has been comprehensively studied and judged from the aspects of the investment subject, project land use, construction and production content, input and output, energy consumption, environmental protection, etc. At present, the first draft of the selection and management methods for the manufacturing investment promotion projects in the cluster area has been formulated, and the headquarters The territorial government and the investor are responsible for this.

Zhaoqing Appears at the Japan Branch of the 2022 Guangdong Hong Kong Macao Greater Bay Area Global Investment Conference

 Zhaoqing Appears at the Japan Branch of the 2022 Guangdong Hong Kong Macao Greater Bay Area Global Investment Conference

Investment in Zhaoqing, November 28, 2022, published in Guangdong at 20:45

In order to seize the golden opportunity of the development of the Guangdong Hong Kong Macao Greater Bay Area, show the world Guangdong's high-level opening up and first-class business environment, and show the achievements of Guangdong's reform and opening up and the remarkable achievements of the construction of the Guangdong Hong Kong Macao Greater Bay Area, the 2022 Japan Branch of the Guangdong Hong Kong Macao Greater Bay Area Global Investment Conference was held in Osaka, Japan, on the morning of November 25. About 200 people from the Japanese political and business circles, the business community, the overseas Chinese community and the media attended the event.

Among them, Zhaoqing City introduced the investment environment at the conference. The conference broadcast a promotional video of Zhaoqing's investment environment. Luo Shengbin, director of Zhaoqing Investment Promotion Bureau, introduced the investment environment of Zhaoqing to Japanese entrepreneurs, relevant economic departments, chambers of commerce, and groups through video. He introduced Zhaoqing as a charming city, a city of opportunity, and a new manufacturing city from the aspects of ecological environment, cultural history, location and transportation, industrial advantages, land space, and business environment, We sincerely invite global enterprises to participate in the construction of the Dawan District and share the development opportunities of Zhaoqing.  

The activity was full of applause and warm atmosphere,

They praised Zhaoqing one after another;

After the promotion meeting,

Many Japanese enterprises on site said

A delegation will be organized to visit Zhaoyang as soon as possible,

Participate in the construction of Dawan District,

Share the development opportunities of Zhaoqing.

Since this year, while fully participating in the epidemic prevention and control, Zhaoqing Investment Promotion Bureau has focused on its main responsibilities, focused on the "online" investment promotion, promoted the "cloud meeting" of investment promotion, used "cloud promotion" as an alternative and innovative measure, broken the time and space boundary, opened a new window of dialogue between the "manufacturing new city" in the Bay District and the world, told the "Zhaoqing story" to the outside world, and opened a new era of "cloud investment promotion" in Zhaoqing.

日本のビジネスマンや日本の投資家の皆様がぜひ肇慶市を訪れ、四会議を視察していただければ幸いです。

肇慶市はまさに世界に溶け込んでいます。

四会市はまさに世界を繋いでいます。

私たちは皆、世界の一員になりたいと考えており、世界とビジネスをしたいと考えています。

Zhaoqing Foreign Affairs and Overseas Chinese Affairs Bureau

Address: No. 122, Chengzhong Road, Duanzhou District, Zhaoqing City, Guangdong Province

Tel: 0086-758-2237010, 0086-758-2231845

Sihui City Investment Promotion Center

Contact information

Tel: +86 758 3611228

Fax: +86 758 3611228

Email: shqyfw@vip.163.com

Website: https://www.sihui.gov.cn/gzjg/shszsj/zsjgz/index.html

Zhaoqing Investment Promotion Bureau

Address: 6/F, No. 18, Jiangbin West Road, Duanzhou District, Zhaoqing City, Guangdong Province

Tel: +86 758 2899202

Fax: +86 758 2282600

Email: zqszsj@126.com

有些人失业了，每天都假装正常上下班，为的就是不让家里人担心。

 有些人失业了，每天都假装正常上下班，为的就是不让家里人担心。

其实出门后，在地铁里，咖啡馆里呆着。

认住这个四浪。

 

认住这个四浪。

300999，走了一个月线四浪下跌，

002336就是样板。